Traverse City Record-Eagle

Business

April 27, 2013

Futures File: Spring fever boosts demand for beef

Crave a cook-out? Americans who have been hankering for a hamburger may finally get their chance to roll out the grill and release their pent-up demand for beef, pork and chicken. The U.S. population consumes more meat per capita than any other nation and has been losing patience with cold, rainy weather.

Growing concerns of a new strain of bird flu in China (H7N9 Avian Virus) and subsequent massive culling of duck and chicken flocks could create a substitute demand for U.S. produced meat as a protein source for Chinese consumers. June cattle and hogs futures contracts have rallied more than two cents per pound in the past two weeks in anticipation of larger seasonal demand.

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While livestock prices have moved up, the price for “new crop” corn has declined, as hopes for clearer weather brighten. Many grain producers throughout the corn and soybean belt have experienced planting delays due to their fields being too cold, too wet or even flooded. Corn prices rose briefly on further weather concerns. By week’s end, however, warmer, sunny weather, and the expectation of the planting of a record large crop sank prices toward a new low close near $5.22 per bushel. As usual, it’s difficult for farmers to achieve high prices and good weather at the same time.

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After hitting a three-month low last week, gasoline futures have rebounded as the market shifts its attention to the summer driving season, which will soon mark an increase in driving and gasoline demand.

Gasoline consumption this summer is expected be the lowest in 12 years, primarily due to increases in fuel economy. However, analysts are hopeful that a stronger U.S. economy could help boost demand. Better economic numbers this week, including the lowest number of new jobless claims in more than five years, helped to fuel a rally that pushed gasoline prices as much as 10 cents per gallon above last week’s low.

Opinions are solely the writer’s. Walt Breitinger is a commodity futures broker in Valparaiso, Ind. He can be reached at (800) 411-3888 or www.indianafutures.com. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell any market.

 

 

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